Hempel's Raven Paradox: A Lacuna in the Standard Bayesian Solution
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Hempel’s Raven Paradox: A Lacuna in the Standard Bayesian Solution
According to Hempel’s paradox, evidence (E) that an object is a nonblack nonraven confirms the hypothesis (H) that every raven is black. According to the standard Bayesian solution, E does confirm H but only to a minute degree. This solution relies on the almost never explicitly defended assumption that the probability of H should not be affected by evidence that an object is nonblack. I argue ...
متن کاملOn Nicod's Condition, Rules of Induction and the Raven Paradox
Philosophers writing about the ravens paradox often note that Nicod’s Condition (NC) holds given some set of background information, and fails to hold against others, but rarely go any further. That is, it is usually not explored which background information makes NC true or false. The present paper aims to fill this gap. For us, “(objective) background knowledge” is restricted to information t...
متن کاملA Lacuna in the Guidelines
Physicians treat chronic hypertension almost exclusively in ambulatory care settings according to evidence-based guidelines1 based on blood pressure (BP) measurements obtained under prescribed conditions.2 Other recommendations cover how to deal with hypertension in dialysis units2 and emergency departments,3 but none address a very commonly encountered problem: what to do about acutely elevate...
متن کاملA pragmatic solution to the polysemy paradox*
This paper investigates the phenomenon of polysemy: a single word with two or multiple related senses (e.g. run in run a half marathon, run on gasoline, run a shop, etc.). While it is largely unproblematic from the point of view of communication, polysemy poses a range of theoretical and descriptive problems. This has been described as the polysemy paradox (Ravin & Leacock 2000). In this paper,...
متن کاملA Solution to the Gating Paradox
We introduce a Markov model for the gating of membrane channels. The model features a possible solution to the so–called gating current paradox, namely that the bell–shaped curve that describes the voltage dependence of the kinetics is broader than expected from, and shifted relative to, the sigmoidal curve that describes the voltage dependence of the activation. The model also predicts some te...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
سال: 2004
ISSN: 0007-0882,1464-3537
DOI: 10.1093/bjps/55.3.545